27 February 2012

Wikileaks Global Intelligence Files

Op maandag 27 februari 2012 begon WikiLeaks met het publiceren De Global Intelligence Files http://wikileaks.org/the-gifiles.html : meer dan vijf miljoen e-mails van het in Texas gevestigde "global intelligence" bedrijf Stratfor http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stratfor (Strategic Forecasting, Inc.), daterend van juli 2004 tot eind december 2011. Stratfor profileert zich als uitgever van artikelen op het gebied van inlichtingen, maar speelt in werkelijkheid vertrouwelijke inlichtingen door aan bedrijven als Bhopal Dow Chemical Co, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon en Amerikaanse overheidsinstellingen, waaronder Homeland Security, de marine en de geheime dienst van Defensie. Op dit weblog plaats ik opmerkelijke citaten uit de e-mails met een link naar het betreffende document.

Wikileaks.org | 27.02.2012 | NEDERLANDS


"The current "let's bomb Iran" campaign was ordered by the EU leaders to divert the public attention from their at home financial problems. ... The result of this campaign will be massive attacks on Gaza and strikes on Hezbollah in both Lebanon and Syria."

"If a massive attack on Iran happens soon, then the attack will have political and oil reasons and not nuclear. It is also very hard to believe that the Israelis will initiate an attack unless they act as a contractor for other nations or if Iran or its proxies attack first."

"Based on Israeli plans, the attack on Iran will last only 48 hours but will be so destructive that Iran will be unable to retaliate or recover and the government will fall."

"Not many people know that Russia is one of Israel's largest military partners and India is Israel's largest client."

"There are enough iranians who have aliyah'd to israel that they could easily train a persian looking, farsi speaking jew to go into Iran for sabotage and not get caught."

"p.s. I'm offended that we may believe an Iranian before a Jew."



"If this is a source you suspect may have value, you have to take control od him. Control means financial, sexual or psychological control to the point where he would reveal his sourcing and be tasked."

SOURCE DESCRIPTION: well-connected VZ source working with Israel
SOURCE RELIABILITY: B - source is anti-Chavez, but I've gotten better at reading him over the years to tell when he's feeding me shit and when he's giving useful info - his info on the VZ regime has checked out, but i tend to be more skeptical on iran-related info"

"[Nicolas] Maduro is seen as more of a Lula candidate. He has a following, he has charisma, but he's also a balancer. He's the kind of guy that would open up to the US and keep tight with everyone else, but that still makes Iran nervous. The source seems to think that Obama in his second term would open up to Maduro (and this is something that he is actively working on.)"

"guess who has been most cooperative with us lately? The military elite. These guys have been living the good life. They love women... lots of women. THey love booze. They love bora bora. They are easy to bribe. They dont care about chavez. they care about maintaining their current lifestyles. We've seen a lot of these military elite reach out to us lately, trying to insulate themselves in a post-Chavez scenario."

"(side note) - we were talking a bit about a recent PdVSA [PetrĂ³leos de Venezuela S.A.]-Iran joint venture. They shifted their main base of operations from Caracas to Ankara, though. This has become a trend lately, where a lot of Iran's sanctions circumventing oeprations in VZ are quietly being relocated to Turkey. Part of Turkey's balancing act with Iran."


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